On Thursday, November 27th, 2025, the Baltimore Ravens will host the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium in primetime on Thanksgiving Night. This AFC North showdown carries significant implications for both teams, though the circumstances couldn’t be more different. The Ravens (6-5) enter riding a five-game winning streak that has pulled them from the depths of a 1-5 start back into a first-place tie atop the division. The Bengals (3-8), meanwhile, are desperately clinging to the faintest of playoff hopes, having lost four straight and eight of their last nine games while their franchise quarterback Joe Burrow has been sidelined with a severe turf toe injury.

The matchup at 8:20 PM ET on NBC represents Cincinnati’s season on the line – realistically, they need to win out to have any chance at postseason football. For Baltimore, it’s an opportunity to extend their winning streak, maintain their division lead, and prove they can beat quality opponents on a national stage. The Ravens are 7-point favorites, but Burrow’s return from a nine-game absence adds an element of unpredictability to a game that might otherwise feel like a mismatch.

This will be the second time in franchise history the Bengals play on Thanksgiving, and it marks a homecoming of sorts for Burrow, who grew up watching Thanksgiving football and dreamed of playing on the holiday. Baltimore will counter with Lamar Jackson, who despite dealing with lingering knee and ankle issues, has guided his team through their remarkable turnaround. The stage is set for a division rivalry game with playoff implications, national television exposure, and storylines that could define both teams’ seasons.

Before we go further, visit our Baltimore Ravens portal for discounted parking, hotels and Ravens events around the neighborhood. You have more discounted parking options with us for your next Ravens games!

What’s at Stake

For the Ravens, this game represents validation. Their five-game winning streak has been impressive from a record standpoint – climbing from 1-5 to 6-5 is remarkable – but the quality of competition has raised questions. Baltimore has beaten Chicago (4-7), Miami (5-6), Minnesota (4-7 with J.J. McCarthy starting), Cleveland (3-8), and the Jets (2-9). Not a single winning team in the bunch. While beating the teams you’re supposed to beat is important, championship-caliber franchises make statements against quality opponents. The Bengals, when healthy, represent that level of competition.

A win on Thursday would give Baltimore a 7-5 record heading into December with games against Pittsburgh looming. It would mark six consecutive victories and extend their defensive streak of holding opponents under 20 points. More importantly, it would send a message that this team has turned a corner and is ready to compete with the AFC’s elite. The Ravens’ goal isn’t just winning the division – it’s securing home-field advantage and positioning themselves for a deep playoff run that has eluded them in recent years.

For the Bengals, this game is about survival. At 3-8, Cincinnati’s playoff odds are listed at +2500 by sportsbooks, which translates to roughly a 1% chance according to ESPN Analytics. Burrow himself acknowledged the team likely needs to win all six remaining games to have any shot, and even then they would need significant help from other teams. It’s a situation eerily similar to 2024, when the Bengals won their final five games only to finish 9-8 and miss the playoffs anyway.

But this isn’t about mathematical probabilities for Cincinnati – it’s about pride, momentum for 2026, and proving that with Burrow healthy, this team can still compete. The Bengals have dropped four straight games to Baltimore, and the division rivalry adds extra motivation. Burrow spoke Tuesday about “getting tired” of playing teams twice a year and not liking them, the kind of honest assessment that comes from a fierce competitor. For Cincinnati’s coaching staff, particularly Zac Taylor who is under increasing scrutiny after three straight years missing the playoffs, wins down the stretch could be the difference between job security and a January reckoning.

The Joe Burrow Factor

The elephant in the room – or perhaps the hope in the room, depending on your perspective – is Joe Burrow’s return. The Bengals’ franchise quarterback hasn’t played since September 14th, when he suffered a Grade 3 turf toe injury against Jacksonville that required surgery. A Grade 3 diagnosis means a complete tear of all soft tissues in his big toe, the kind of injury that typically sidelines players for months.

Sixty-nine days later, Burrow is back. He was a full participant in practice Tuesday and Thursday, taking first-team reps and moving without the boot that had defined his sideline appearances for weeks. Head coach Zac Taylor said Monday he “anticipates” Burrow playing, though no official declaration has been made as of Tuesday. The fact that the Bengals waived backup quarterback Sean Clifford on Monday is the clearest indication yet that Burrow will suit up.

The question isn’t whether Burrow will play – it’s how effective he can be. This will be his first game action in nine weeks, coming off major surgery on his push-off foot. The Ravens’ pass rush, bolstered by trade deadline acquisition Dre’Mont Jones, will test that surgically repaired toe early and often. Baltimore’s defense has generated consistent pressure during their winning streak, and they’ll look to exploit any rust or hesitation from Burrow.

Burrow’s history of bouncing back from injuries is well-documented. He won Comeback Player of the Year twice, once after the devastating knee injury that ended his rookie season and again in 2024 after missing significant time. Last season, he led the NFL in both passing yards (4,918) and touchdowns (43), proving he can return to elite form. But every injury is different, every recovery timeline unique. This abbreviated return after just over two months from surgery that typically sidelines players longer raises legitimate questions about his mobility, power, and overall effectiveness.

The Bengals are 1-8 without Burrow this season. Jake Browning went 0-3 as his initial replacement before the team traded for 40-year-old Joe Flacco, who managed just one win in six starts despite throwing for 342 yards and three touchdowns in a thrilling victory over Pittsburgh. The offense hasn’t been the problem as much as the historically bad defense, but Burrow’s presence elevates everything. His pre-snap reads, audible ability, and command of the offense are irreplaceable, and even a 70% healthy Burrow is better than most alternatives.

Burrow made it clear Tuesday he wasn’t going to sit out games if healthy, regardless of Cincinnati’s playoff odds. “I’m not ever going to go to somebody and say, ‘Yeah, I’m healthy, but I don’t think I should go out there and play,'” Burrow said. “That doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. I’m not going to live my life and play this game scared of something happening.” It’s the mindset of a competitor who has dealt with injury setbacks throughout his six-year NFL career but refuses to let fear dictate his decisions.

Key Matchups and Storylines

Derrick Henry vs. Cincinnati’s Run Defense

The most obvious mismatch on paper belongs to Ravens running back Derrick Henry facing the NFL’s second-worst run defense. The Bengals are allowing 156 rushing yards per game, ranking 31st in the league, and surrendering a staggering 5.2 yards per carry. For context, that’s nearly a yard worse than the league average. They’ve been gashed repeatedly this season, most recently allowing three rushing touchdowns to New England’s TreVeyon Henderson.

Henry, despite a modest 64-yard performance against the Jets in which he averaged just 3.0 yards per carry, remains one of the league’s most dangerous backs. At 31 years old, he’s defying aging curves with 871 rushing yards and nine touchdowns through 11 games. His recent performances include historical achievements – passing Hall of Famers Marcus Allen, Edgerrin James, and Marshall Faulk on the all-time rushing list, and recording his 30th career game with multiple rushing touchdowns, third-most in NFL history.

The Bengals’ defensive front has been decimated by injuries. They’ll be without star pass rusher Trey Hendrickson (hip), who has missed four games this season and won’t be available Thursday. The absence of their best defensive player removes any semblance of threat to slow down Baltimore’s ground game. Expect offensive coordinator Todd Monken to feature Henry early and often, establishing the run to set up play-action opportunities and keep Cincinnati’s offense on the sideline.

Henry’s success will likely determine the game’s tempo and outcome. If he’s consistently gaining 5-6 yards per carry in the first half, Baltimore can control possession, shorten the game, and limit Burrow’s opportunities to make plays. If Cincinnati somehow manages to slow Henry – unlikely given the personnel and season-long trends – then the Ravens will need Jackson’s passing game to step up in ways it hasn’t during their recent winning streak.

Ja’Marr Chase vs. Baltimore’s Secondary

The return of Ja’Marr Chase adds another dimension to Cincinnati’s offense. The All-Pro wide receiver missed last week’s game serving a one-game suspension for spitting on Pittsburgh cornerback Jalen Ramsey in Week 11. Chase is arguably the NFL’s most dynamic playmaker at the position, with the speed to stretch defenses vertically and the run-after-catch ability to turn short passes into explosive gains.

Chase will face a Baltimore secondary that has improved significantly during the winning streak but remains vulnerable. The Ravens rank 24th in pass defense, allowing 230 passing yards per game, and their cornerback depth has been tested all season. Marlon Humphrey, returning from his finger injury that sidelined him one game, will likely draw primary coverage on Chase, setting up a fascinating one-on-one battle between two of the conference’s best at their positions.

The wrinkle here is the absence of Tee Higgins, who’s been ruled out with a concussion. Higgins has been Chase’s running mate, occupying defensive attention and creating favorable one-on-one matchups. Without him, Baltimore can focus their coverage on Chase, potentially using safety help over the top and forcing other receivers like John Metchie III, Adonai Mitchell, or tight ends Tyler Kroft and Mike Gesicki to beat them. The question becomes whether Burrow, coming off such a long layoff, can effectively distribute the ball when his top target is receiving extra attention.

Chase’s suspension for spitting was controversial and highlighted frustrations from a disappointing season. He returned to the team facility Monday, and all reports suggest he’s focused and ready for the challenge. His relationship with Burrow is one of the NFL’s best quarterback-receiver connections, developed during their championship run together at LSU and refined over four pro seasons. If Burrow can find his rhythm, Chase has the talent to single-handedly swing the game, particularly if he can beat press coverage at the line and create separation downfield.

Lamar Jackson’s Health and Mobility

The less-discussed but potentially decisive factor is Lamar Jackson’s health. The Ravens’ two-time MVP has been dealing with knee and ankle issues that have limited his practice participation for multiple weeks. Against the Jets, Jackson completed just 13 of 23 passes for 153 yards with no touchdowns, marking his third consecutive game under 200 passing yards. More concerning, he ran just seven times for 11 yards – a stark contrast to the dual-threat dynamism that has defined his MVP-caliber play.

Jackson has been managing his workload, sitting out certain practice drills to preserve his health for game day. The short week between Sunday’s Jets game and Thursday’s Thanksgiving matchup provides minimal recovery time, and playing on the quick turnaround could exacerbate the lingering issues. Baltimore’s offense is at its most dangerous when Jackson can threaten defenses with his legs, keeping safeties honest and creating explosive rushing lanes. Without that threat, the offense becomes more predictable and easier to defend.

The Ravens have won despite Jackson’s modest statistical output because their defense has been outstanding and Derrick Henry has carried the offensive load. But against a quarterback of Burrow’s caliber – even a rusty, recovering Burrow – Baltimore may need Jackson to make more plays in the passing game. The Bengals’ defense, while historically bad overall, still has playmakers in the secondary who can make life difficult if Jackson can’t escape pressure with his mobility.

Head coach John Harbaugh has been tight-lipped about Jackson’s specific ailments, referring only to his limited practice participation and game-day decisions. The concern is that if Cincinnati loads the box to stop Henry, can Jackson beat them with his arm? His connection with Zay Flowers (58 receptions, 761 yards) has been reliable, and Mark Andrews remains a red zone threat with five touchdown catches, but the explosive downfield passing game hasn’t been there during the winning streak. Thursday will test whether Jackson’s health allows him to elevate his game when facing a dangerous offense.

Baltimore’s Defensive Resurgence vs. Cincinnati’s Offensive Firepower

The most compelling storyline might be the contrast between Baltimore’s improved defense and Cincinnati’s high-powered offense. The Ravens have transformed from one of the league’s worst run defenses (allowing 146.4 yards per game through five weeks, ranked 32nd) to one of its best (96.6 yards per game since, ranked 3rd in run defense EPA). They’ve held opponents under 20 points in six consecutive games, with the defense forcing timely turnovers and making crucial stops in winning time.

Defensive coordinator Zach Orr deserves credit for the turnaround. The addition of Dre’Mont Jones at the trade deadline has provided interior pass rush that was sorely lacking, while Roquan Smith continues to be the heart of the unit with 79 tackles through 11 games. Kyle Hamilton’s versatility allows Baltimore to deploy multiple looks, confusing quarterbacks and creating favorable matchups. Marlon Humphrey’s forced fumble against Breece Hall in the Jets game exemplified the ball-hawking mentality that has defined this defense during the winning streak.

But the Bengals present a different challenge than Chicago, Miami, Minnesota (with McCarthy), Cleveland, or the Jets. When healthy, Cincinnati’s offense features elite playmakers across the board. Chase is a game-breaker. Tee Higgins, though out Thursday, has been productive when available. The running back duo was supposed to provide balance, and while they’ve been inconsistent, Burrow’s presence in play-action unlocks their effectiveness. The offensive line, when fully healthy, has given Burrow time to operate.

The wild card is Burrow himself. Even coming off surgery and rust, he’s capable of diagnosing defenses pre-snap and making the throws necessary to exploit coverage. His release is quick, his accuracy is elite, and his football IQ allows him to process information faster than most. If Burrow can avoid the early mistakes that often come with long layoffs, and if Chase can create separation, Cincinnati has the weapons to score points against anyone.

The question is whether Baltimore’s defense can generate enough pressure with its front four to force Burrow into quick decisions without blitzing. The Ravens don’t want to leave their corners on islands against Chase, but they also can’t consistently bring extra rushers and risk getting beat deep. Finding that balance will be Orr’s biggest challenge, and it’s a legitimate test of whether this defense’s improvement is real or simply a product of inferior competition.

Special Teams and Game Management

Often overlooked but potentially decisive, special teams could swing this game. Baltimore’s Jordan Stout is coming off a career day, including a 74-yard punt that tied the franchise record. His ability to pin opponents deep has been crucial during the winning streak, winning the field position battle and forcing opponents to march the length of the field for scores. Against a Bengals offense that will need every yard to keep pace, Stout’s booming leg could be the difference between touchdown drives and three-and-outs.

Tyler Loop has been reliable for Baltimore, going 22-of-24 on field goal attempts and perfect inside 50 yards. His consistency gives the Ravens confidence to take points when available, particularly in close games. Cincinnati’s Nick Folk has been equally reliable, staying perfect on field goals all season, so neither team has an advantage in the kicking game.

The more intriguing question is game management. Zac Taylor has been criticized throughout his tenure for questionable decision-making – aggressive fourth-down attempts that backfire, clock management issues, and offensive play-calling that doesn’t always match the flow of the game. Against the Jets, Taylor went for it on fourth-and-2 from his own 42, and the incomplete pass gave Baltimore excellent field position that led to points. Those decisions can define games, especially on the road against quality opponents.

John Harbaugh, conversely, is one of the NFL’s most respected coaches, with a Super Bowl ring and consistent success throughout his 17-year tenure. His ability to manage close games, make timely adjustments, and keep his team focused has been evident during the five-game winning streak. Baltimore hasn’t always been dominant, but they’ve found ways to win, and Harbaugh’s steady hand has been a significant factor.

The Atmosphere and Setting

Thanksgiving Night Football at M&T Bank Stadium promises to be electric. The Ravens are incorporating enhanced LED wristbands for fans, creating immersive animations including ravens flying through the crowd and dynamic patterns that boost the gameday experience. Baltimore’s starting offense will be introduced with a distinct LED stadium lights system, featuring vibrant sequences and “blackout” moments that should energize the home crowd.

Lil Jon will perform at halftime, adding an entertainment element befitting the holiday primetime slot. The Legend of the Game will be Jameel McClain, who played six seasons in Baltimore and set the franchise record with two career safeties forced. For Ravens fans, it’s an opportunity to celebrate a team that has clawed back from the brink of disaster to sit atop the division at Thanksgiving.

The short week adds another layer of complexity. Thursday games are notoriously sloppy, with limited practice time and recovery creating opportunities for mistakes. The team that protects the ball and avoids self-inflicted wounds typically wins these matchups. Baltimore has been disciplined during their winning streak, while Cincinnati has struggled with turnovers and penalties throughout their losing skid. That trend could continue Thursday, especially with Burrow returning from such a long absence.

Predictions and Expectations

The betting line has Baltimore as 7-point favorites, with an over/under of 51.5 points. The Ravens are 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings with Cincinnati, and the over has cashed in seven of Baltimore’s 11 games this season. The numbers suggest a relatively high-scoring affair with the home team covering, but Burrow’s return introduces enough uncertainty to make this fascinating.

Most analysts expect Baltimore to win. The CBS Sports prediction has Ravens 26, Bengals 22. NBC Sports’ experts lean toward the home team as well, citing the defensive improvement and Henry’s favorable matchup against Cincinnati’s porous run defense. FOX Sports gives the Ravens a 74.7% implied win probability based on the moneyline, suggesting bookmakers view this as a clear Baltimore advantage.

But games aren’t played on paper, and division rivals know each other too well for blowouts. The Bengals swept Baltimore in 2024, including a 35-34 thriller earlier this year that came down to the final seconds. When these teams meet, history suggests close, competitive games regardless of records or circumstances. Cincinnati has nothing to lose – their playoff hopes are essentially dead already – which makes them dangerous. Teams playing freely without pressure can be unpredictable, and the Bengals have enough talent to make this uncomfortable for Baltimore.

The key factors likely to determine the outcome:

1. Derrick Henry’s effectiveness early – If he’s gaining 5+ yards per carry in the first quarter, Baltimore controls the game. If Cincinnati somehow slows him, the Ravens need Jackson to step up.
2. Burrow’s rust and accuracy – His first few series will be crucial. If he’s sharp and hitting throws, Cincinnati can stay competitive. If he’s overthrowing receivers or hesitant in the pocket, Baltimore’s defense will tee off.
3. Turnover battle – The team that protects the ball will win. Baltimore has been excellent during the winning streak, committing few turnovers. Cincinnati’s defense is ball-hawking despite its struggles, with 18 forced turnovers. One pick-six or fumble return could swing the game.
4. Third down conversions – Baltimore is 10th in the NFL on third down offense (42.6%), while Cincinnati’s defense allows conversions 48.57% of the time (worst in league). If the Ravens are consistently converting, they’ll control possession and keep Burrow on the sideline.
5. Red zone efficiency – Both teams need touchdowns, not field goals. Baltimore has been perfect lately in the red zone with Henry’s short-yardage power. Cincinnati without Tee Higgins may struggle to punch it in, relying heavily on Chase in tight spaces.

The safe prediction is a Baltimore victory. They’re at home, playing with confidence, and facing an opponent desperate enough to make mistakes. But the margin might not be as comfortable as the 7-point spread suggests. Burrow’s ability to extend plays and Chase’s explosive potential keep this game interesting deep into the fourth quarter.

Final Prediction: Ravens 27, Bengals 21

Baltimore wins a close, competitive divisional game that stays within one score until late. Henry eclipses 100 rushing yards, Jackson makes just enough throws to keep drives alive, and the defense forces one crucial turnover – likely a Burrow interception as he tries to force a ball to Chase in coverage – that seals the victory. The Ravens move to 7-5, extending their winning streak to six games, while Cincinnati drops to 3-9 with their playoff hopes officially extinguished.

For Baltimore, it’s another step forward in their remarkable turnaround season. For Cincinnati, it’s confirmation that 2025 has been a lost year, and attention will quickly turn to 2026 and keeping this talented core together for one more run.

What to Watch For

Beyond the final score, Thursday’s game will provide crucial insights into both teams:

For the Ravens:

• Can Jackson elevate his game when needed against quality competition?
• Does the defensive improvement hold up against an elite quarterback and playmakers?
• Is the offensive line capable of protecting against a blitz-heavy attack when Henry isn’t running?
• Can the secondary limit explosive plays without getting beat deep?

For the Bengals:

• How effective is Burrow after 69 days away from game action?
• Can Chase dominate against focused coverage without Higgins drawing attention?
• Does the defense show any signs of life against a balanced offensive attack?
• Is there any fight left in this team, or have they conceded the season?

The answers to these questions will shape expectations for the stretch run. Baltimore needs validation that their winning streak represents genuine improvement, not just beating up on weak opponents. Cincinnati needs evidence that with Burrow healthy, they remain a threat to compete in 2026, justifying another year together before potential roster turnover.

Thanksgiving Night Football has given us memorable moments over the years – Leon Lett’s botched fumble recovery, the Butt Fumble, countless last-second finishes. This year’s Ravens-Bengals showdown might not be remembered for a single play, but it represents something significant: Baltimore’s attempt to prove they’ve turned the corner, and Cincinnati’s desperate fight to maintain relevance in a season slipping away.

Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET on NBC. For Ravens fans, it’s a chance to celebrate their team’s resurgence over turkey and stuffing. For Bengals fans, it’s a test of loyalty, continuing to believe even when mathematics suggest futility. For neutral observers, it’s AFC North football – physical, competitive, and always entertaining when these two division rivals meet.

Happy Thanksgiving, and here’s to a game that lives up to the storylines and delivers the kind of drama that makes primetime football appointment viewing. The Ravens are surging, the Bengals are desperate, and Joe Burrow is back. What more could you ask for on Turkey Day?